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Live-Betting Cheat Sheet — Upsets & VAR Week

Context: Early group stage = momentum swings + long stoppages.

Fast angles

  • Bounce-back favorite (off home L): watch first 15’ tempo → Live O0.5 HT if PPDA spikes.

  • Elite 9s vs. high press: Shots on Target (Kane/Mbappé) > Anytime scorer.

  • VAR-heavy crews: Late Goals & Cards (80’–FT) get juice with added time.

Signals to pull trigger

  • xG delta ≥ +0.6 in first 25’ without goal.

  • Press height > 45m and keeper long balls ↑.

  • Fresh attacking subs before 70’.

Markets I’ll scout on 1win

  • Live totals (O1.5/O2.5) after momentum swings.

  • SoT ladders for star forwards.

  • 80’–FT goal/corners, Over cards when heatmap stays red.

Your turn: Drop your favorite live cue (stat or eye test) and the exact market you’d hit next matchweek.

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